Precisely one-quarter of Quebecers consider a separation referendum would achieve success, a brand new ballot for CityNews has discovered.
The 25 per cent of Quebecers believing sovereignty might turn into a actuality is the second-highest throughout any Canadian province, behind Alberta at 27 per cent.
The ballot for CityNews carried out by Canada Pulse Insights discovered most different Canadians (87 per cent) – outdoors of these two provinces – would like to stay in Canada.
Assist for his or her province to stay in Canada was the very best in Ontario (95 per cent) and Atlantic Canada (94 per cent).
Total, solely one-in-five Canadians polled consider a hypothetical separation referendum held in both Quebec or Alberta inside the subsequent six months would move.
“Though there isn’t a referendum both in Alberta or Quebec any time quickly, what we wished to do is to search out out what Canadians in every province throughout the nation would really feel in the event that they have been offered with a referendum-style poll,” mentioned pollster John Wright.
In Quebec, the chief of the Parti Québécois, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, has dedicated to having a sovereignty referendum by 2030 if elected premier within the upcoming provincial election.
“The Parti Québécois is suited proper now to win the election, however they’ll take their time and take a look at a variety of totally different situations inside the province itself, and possibly not go to the polls with a referendum till late in their very own mandate,” shared Wright. “It’s a unique technology now, totally different values than it did by way of numbers alone. Nonetheless, this can be a marketing campaign that can emerge.”
In Alberta, the provincial authorities recently announced a referendum for Oct. 9 on a variety of points.
The poll in October will embody questions on whether or not Alberta ought to take elevated management over immigration, prohibit provincially funded packages to residents, everlasting residents and people with Alberta‑authorized standing, impose a 12‑month residency requirement for non‑everlasting residents searching for social helps, cost charges for his or her use of well being and training programs, and require proof of citizenship to vote.
“I feel what’s occurred within the final week is Premier (Danielle) Smith has proven that she’s very open to utilizing referendum on a variety of subjects,” mentioned Wright. “If I needed to say, proper now, she’s doing a take a look at run of referenda, in all probability to get the province used to doing one, so there may be one within the close to future on the standing of Alberta inside the province itself.”
Final 12 months, Smith promised a referendum on separation in 2026 if residents gathered the required variety of signatures on a petition.
Canada Pulse Insights surveyed 1,510 Canadian adults powered by the SAGO on-line panel platform, Feb. 9 – 19, 2026. The outcomes have a comparable margin of error of ± 1.8 share factors, 19 occasions out of 20. The outcomes have been weighted in line with census benchmarks.
With files from The Canadian Press